Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2009/01/16
[Author Prev] [Author Next] [Thread Prev] [Thread Next] [Author Index] [Topic Index] [Home] [Search]Chris, you're entirely right about at least one thing: we don't know. But the liquidity that haas been poured into the [abyss] [ecopnomy] take your choice by the Fed's doubling - some say tripl;ing - its balance sheet is precisely printing money. And unless the Fed and Central Banks around the world drain off that liquidity, it is as certain as death and taxes that serious inflation will occur. Of course, all of this is opinion, not fact ! ;-) Seth ----- Original Message ----- From: "Christopher Birchenhall" <crbirchenhall@googlemail.com> To: "Leica Users Group" <lug@leica-users.org> Sent: Friday, January 16, 2009 3:20 PM Subject: Re: [Leica] FYI: NIkon price increases > Seth > > One of the current fears for governments and cenral banks is > depression and deflation as in the 30s not stagflation as in the 70s. > Both inflation and deflation can see some prices increasing and some > decreasing; it is never a simple one way movement. What we will see is > a dramatic movement in relative prices - some going up and some going > down - and much of this will reflect movements in exchange rates. The > world will experience a severe shake out with winners and losers; > unfortunately the losers will dominate in the short run. At the moment > it is not clear governments are printing money but they are mortgaging > future income to bail out the debacle created by bad financial > institutions i.e. almost all of the current financial institutions. > The real problem is this may lengthen the depression albeit reduce its > depth. We don't know. > > Chris B > > 2009/1/16 Seth Rosner <sethrosner@nycap.rr.com>: >> You can make book on it, David. With the gov't printing presses creating >> money as they have for more than half-a-year and will continue, look for >> inflation north of ten percent - if we're lucky - within 2-3 years. >> >> ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Rodgers" >> <drodgers@casefarms.com> >> To: "Leica Users Group" <lug@leica-users.org> >> Sent: Friday, January 16, 2009 12:04 PM >> Subject: RE: [Leica] FYI: NIkon price increases >> >> >>> Could the dreaded stagflation be on the horizon? Hopefully not, but a >>> lot of what I'm reading reminds me of the '70s. Rising prices in >>> prolonged recession. There's not a lot anyone can do to fix it. Again, >>> I hope that's not the case. >>> >>> -----Original Message----- >>> From: Henning Wulff [mailto:henningw@archiphoto.com] >>> Sent: Friday, January 16, 2009 12:56 AM >>> To: Leica Users Group >>> Subject: Re: [Leica] FYI: NIkon price increases >>> >>> At 7:08 PM -0500 1/15/09, A. Lal wrote: >>>> >>>> Just go an e-mail from Levine's in Boston. Nikon prices are going up >>>> on Feb 1, with some items jumping up by 30+%. Surprising to see >>>> price increases in this economic climate. >>>> >>>> Can Canon be far behind? >>>> >>> >>> Since last spring the Japanese Yen has gained 70% against the >>> Canadian Dollar and nearly 50% against the US Dollar. That's a bit >>> too much to absorb for the distributors. >>> >>> -- >>> >>> * Henning J. Wulff >>> /|\ Wulff Photography & Design >>> /###\ mailto:henningw@archiphoto.com >>> |[ ]| http://www.archiphoto.com >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> Leica Users Group. >>> See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information >> >> >> -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- >> >> >> >> No virus found in this incoming message. >> Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.com >> Version: 8.0.176 / Virus Database: 270.10.8/1897 - Release Date: >> 1/16/2009 >> 6:52 AM >> >> >> _______________________________________________ >> Leica Users Group. >> See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information >> > > _______________________________________________ > Leica Users Group. > See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- No virus found in this incoming message. Checked by AVG - http://www.avg.com Version: 8.0.176 / Virus Database: 270.10.8/1897 - Release Date: 1/16/2009 6:52 AM