Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2020/03/22
[Author Prev] [Author Next] [Thread Prev] [Thread Next] [Author Index] [Topic Index] [Home] [Search]I totally agree, Philippe. The volume of testing is key to understanding the variance in the death to case ratio. However, no matter how many people are tested, there are still a significant number of people who won't bother getting it done for varying reasons - ignorance, recklessness, being asymptomatic, etc. It is down to the vulnerable - old, etc. - to isolate and/or protect themselves by assuming any contact with anyone else could be opening a conduit to the infection. Douglas On 22/03/2020 12:25, Philippe via LUG wrote: > I have no idea Don. > > What I know is that I live near the German border, which is now closed. > Maybe social interaction is more limited in Germany? Or the tsunami has > simply not reached them, yet. Just guessing. > The other reasonable explanation might also come from how the statistics > are produced. Germany performs more tests than France for instance. The > resulting ratio contaminated/dead is subsequently more accurate than here, > and also lower. Here, only those already (too?) far in the condition are > tested. The toll may consequently look higher in proportion. Just > conjectures I said as I don?t know the raw data for Germany. > > If you look at Italy and Spain, with a milder climate and a strong habit > of ? socializing ? on the streets, in the resaurants or the caf?s, the > casualties are more than three times ours at the time I?m writing. Which > doesn?t mean anyone is faring better. Time only will tell. > > Alsace where I live is dramatically affected after a convention by a > congregation of evangelists that spread the disease (also nationwide) a > couple of weeks ago. And it was snowball from there. > > I live in a tiny (600 inh.) remote village that, in theory, should have > been spared, had people been reasonably careful. Yet, we have villagers in > hospital right now. And some deaths are reported in the old people?s home > located on the outskirts of the village. How did they get it ??? > > Stay home ! > > Amities > > Philippe > > > >> Le 22 mars 2020 ? 12:54, Don Dory via LUG <lug at leica-users.org> a >> ?crit : >> >> More relevant would be comments from our European members as to the very >> disparate mortality rates of Germany to France(~100 to ~400) Even >> backtracking for population numbers France has a much higher mortality >> rate >> with a similar proficiency in medical capabilities. Both countries should >> have had similar initial exposure profiles and I assume reasonably similar >> internal movement/ external tourism but I would like to know more. >> >> On Sat, Mar 21, 2020, 11:15 PM Brian Reid <reid at mejac.palo-alto.ca.us> >> wrote: >> >>> https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221.full >>> >>> _______________________________________________ >>> Leica Users Group. >>> See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information >>> >> _______________________________________________ >> Leica Users Group. >> See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information > > _______________________________________________ > Leica Users Group. > See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information