Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2004/02/09

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Subject: RE: [Leica] Re: Digital M
From: "B. D. Colen" <bdcolen@earthlink.net>
Date: Mon, 9 Feb 2004 09:58:11 -0500

Speaking of digital M - and remembering that I said I'd buy one IF they
produce it...oh, and if it can produce at least 1600 iso relatively
low-noise images, etc. etc.
Keep in mind that what Leica just announced is that this is something
they are going to do...which means that it is at least, what 24 to 48
months away? How's this for a prediction? They will get about half-way
there, will go belly up, the company will be aquired by one of the
Japanese companies, and the digital M will then eventually emerge...;-)

- -----Original Message-----
From: owner-leica-users@mejac.palo-alto.ca.us
[mailto:owner-leica-users@mejac.palo-alto.ca.us] On Behalf Of
LRZeitlin@aol.com
Sent: Monday, February 09, 2004 9:31 AM
To: leica-users@mejac.palo-alto.ca.us
Subject: [Leica] Re: Digital M



In a message dated 2/8/04 10:57:47 PM, Arturo writes:

<< Let's speculate on the price of a digital M.  I say 2X the price of
an M7. That could make you think twice since you know the digital
improvement curve is still quite steep.  Whereas the next major
improvement to the MP/M7 is twenty years off, based on history. >>

Well, it could be just the reverse. According to Moore's Law the price
of 
digital electronics of similar specification declines by 50% every 18
months. If 
Leica dithers long enough, the digital Ms could be so cheap that the
company 
will give them away as prizes in CrackerJack boxes.

By the way, did anyone suspect that the announcement of the PLANS for
digital 
M development was a red herring to mask Leica's dismal financial news
and 
personnel layoffs. REMEMBER THAT THERE IS NO CAMERA! There are just
plans to 
develop a digital M contingent on Leica's ability to sell 15 million
Euros worth 
of bonds. Since many Leica stockholders are avid photographers, the
proposal 
for the digital M may just have been sugar to make the bitter medicine
go down.

I hope I'm wrong.

Larry Z
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