Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2019/02/11
[Author Prev] [Author Next] [Thread Prev] [Thread Next] [Author Index] [Topic Index] [Home] [Search]Aram, The problem of endlessly reading statistics based on percentages is we lose sight of both the absolute numbers and the installed base. Mirrorless is coming off a low base, so percentage gains years on year is bound to look spectacular. For example, I remember reading somewhere that Sony's share of the ILC system camera market was around 12-13% (Canon was at 49%, Nikon at 25% - I forget whether it was for Japan, US or the whole world, but the logic, I think, does not change). If they have 67% of the ILC mirrorless market, as has been widely reported, then the total for mirrorless would be, at most, 20% of the market. Therefore, on a rough, rule of thumb reckoning, you should see only 20-25% of the camera systems as mirrorless in public use. Cheers Jayanand On Tue, Feb 12, 2019 at 9:03 AM Aram Langhans via LUG <lug at leica-users.org> wrote: > When I am on a trip I pay attention to the types of cameras people are > using. This last two trips, Fall and Winter, I was surprised at what I > saw. Nikon has the lion's share, which is different from previous trips > where Canon and Nikon were more or less equally represented. But what > really surprised me was that mirrorless cameras were very rare. I had > expected from all I read that they are taking over the world. Not so at > Albuquerque balloon fiesta or Yosemite in October or December. Those > that I did see were mainly Sony, but I even saw a few Fuji and Olympus. > I saw quite a few more old film cameras out and about in Yosemite. > Pentax for the most part and a few Leica. > > Overall, not at all what I was expecting. It will be interesting to see > this Spring if any of the Nikon or Canon mirrorless are to be spotted. > Of course, the most common was the cell phone. Mediocrity wins all the > time. > > Aram > > On 2/11/2019 6:52 PM, David Young wrote: > > From today's 43Rumors.com ... > > > >> The bottom line is very bad though. We are below 20 million units per > >> year and mirrorless cameras don't gain as much traction as you might > >> think (2% increase per year vs. 12% decrease in DSLR). For the first > >> time, interchangeable lens cameras surpassed the sales of compact > >> cameras (not surprising, to be honest). If you look at the entire decade > >> you see an unbelievable drop of 84% from 2010 to 2018 in the number of > >> cameras sold/made per year. > > For interest I dug up the numbers for the best year film cameras had. > > > > All I had to do was consult my "Brief History of Photography" (cheap > plug!) to find that 1997 was the biggest year for film camera production, > at 36.7 million units. However, I cannot find a breakdown to P&S vs SLR's > for that year. > > > > It seems total camera production was insanely boosted by the advent of > digita,l as 2010 peaked at 121 million units (including who-knows-how-many > P&S cameras). From there, it has dropped to a mere 19 million units in > 2018. > > > > It's no wonder that cameras are rising in price, as the makers try to > concentrate on higher value mirrorless & dSLR models, to keep their income > up, as units slide. > > > > David. > > > > ------ > > Unsubscribe or change to/from Digest Mode at: > > http://lrflex.furnfeather.ca/ > > Archives are at: > > http://www.freelists.org/archives/leicareflex/ > > > > _______________________________________________ > Leica Users Group. > See http://leica-users.org/mailman/listinfo/lug for more information