Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2003/09/16

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Subject: Re: [Leica] Odds at the Book
From: Jerry Lehrer <jerryleh@pacbell.net>
Date: Tue, 16 Sep 2003 19:44:40 -0700
References: <3F679F62.4C93142@rabinergroup.com>

LUGers

This is referred to as "stream of consciousness" writing.

Jerry

Mark Rabiner wrote:

> A nice good looking and knowing it (good for them!) person at a coffee
> shop after i did a grab shot which felt like a bit of a  winner in the
> spirt of international love said I'd have to put that in my portfolio. A
> nice thing to say. But displaying a slight naiveté.
> I wondered if the shot was quite that good. Close! But no cigar i
> suspected.
> Why? I'm about to tell you. It goes like this.
>
> I'm 52 and I've shot about ten thousand rolls of film a modest amount
> for someone calling themselves a photographer or serious Shutterbug. Sal
> shoots that on a Sunday morning before breakfast and Paper when he's got
> a new lens and he's not sure how well if does wide open.
> If he had a motor drive one Shutters to thing!  :)
>
> So a 20 print portfolio out of 360,000 shots. If that sounds way off
> it's 333 and a third per rolls of film for me yearly so that really is
> no big deal.  Also I think it's one NA article we've found out lately.
> Isnt it?
>
> So the odds of that nice I'm sure shot going into the old book - crème
> de la crème mode is one in 18 thousand. I'll not spread that around when
> the time comes it may not go over right.
> "You didn't' smile so it's one in 5 zillion!"     ???
>
> The odd's of it getting into my enlarger.
> Getting sold to a collector or gallery thing.
> And odds of just matting and hanging it.
> Numbers numbers numbers. Thought i was a visual guy. But I just like to know.
>
> Also a typical shoot for me is 5 rolls. That's a 1 in 72,000 shot at my
> book for one of those images to COME ON DOWN. What's the odds of even
> scanning them now?
> The odds of it going into say a fashion models book is two out of three
> for me.
> In the past the odds of Eileen Ford taking the prints out of the book is
> to my knowledge zero out of zero. She'd clean books out. I understand
> she left my shots in among very few others. Maybe she liked my signature
> in pencil in the corners. I may have not gotten many magazine covers but
> in the promo photo world i did get that.
>
> What's the odds if it being one of those images that i spend hours doing
> photoshop on at 4 AM?
>
> However numerical life is complicated by rolls with 12 on it or 24. I
> can see what i should have done.
>
> Mark Rabiner, The Numbers Guy.
> Portland, Oregon USA
> http://www.rabinergroup.com
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In reply to: Message from Mark Rabiner <mark@rabinergroup.com> ([Leica] Odds at the Book)