[Leica] Lockdown in Ireland

[Don Dory]

The data shows that mortality is somewhere around 0.03 percent for large
populations.   Main factors for mortality are hypertension, obesity,
diabetic,  immune suppressed for a variety of reasons,  and age especially
over 75.

Rank yourself and act accordingly.   Take as much time as necessary with
your parents or grandparents as they are at highest risk.   If they could
go into the countryside and shelter in a small cottage kilometers from
anyone else that would be ideal.

Death comes in many forms and many times unexpected.   A story that I will
always remember is a family of 5 driving westbound on I-20 just outside of
Atlanta.   Some idiot of a driver drove his concrete truck through the
bridge and crushed the family.   One minute a happy family outing,  the
next second dead.

Being intelligent and careful are good strategies.

On Fri, May 1, 2020, 5:58 PM Douglas Barry <imra at iol.ie> wrote:

> The key starts to turn here - a little.
>
> Despite the fact that many countries are fudging their causes of death
> and not including care homes, etc., our own very worrying CoVid death
> rate per million of population stands at 256 - the 12th worst in the
> world (the US is 16th on 198). However, from Tuesday, people who are
> over 70 and who right now have to cocoon, can go outside as long as they
> avoid contact with others (shopping for instance). The current 2km
> exercise restriction for all of the Irish population including myself
> will be extended to 5km. That should open up more chances to get some
> photographic variety as long I don't die doing it!
>
> Subject to how this works out with future CoVid infections, and
> consequent deaths, these further relaxations below will be considered,
> but each will be dependent on no problems with the one that went before.
>
> Phase One (18 May)
> Outdoor meetings between people from different households will be
> allowed and childcare for healthcare workers will be opened
> Phased return of outdoor workers such as gardeners and repair workers,
> as well as the opening of retailers which are primarily outdoor
> Certain outdoor public amenities will also be opened
>
> Phase Two
> Household visits will be allowed and plans will be in place to open up
> business with consideration for safety of staff and customers
> Small retail outlets will open with social distancing observed
> Open public libraries.
>
> Phase Three
> Small social gatherings will be permitted and playgrounds will open,
> while creches, childminders and pre-schools will be available for
> children of essential workers in a phased manner
> Those with low levels of interaction can return to work
> Non-essential retail outlets with street level entrance and exit can open.
>
> Phase Four
> Creches, childminders and pre-schools will be opened for children of all
> other workers on a gradually-increasing basis.
> Those who cannot work from home will return to work
> There will be a gradual easing of restrictions for higher-risk services
> like hairdressers
> Opening of museums, galleries and places of worship.
>
> Phase Five
> Larger social gatherings will be allowed and workers across all sectors
> can return to the workplace
> On a phased basis, commencing at the beginning of the academic year
> 2020/2021, primary and secondary schools and third level institutions
> will reopen
> At this point there will be further easing of restrictions on high-risk
> retail services.
>
> However, while all of this looks very encouraging, the reality is there
> is no vaccine, testing is not comprehensive enough here in Ireland (or
> probably anywhere else!), test results are too slow, antibody tests are
> not available, and there is no certainty as to whether a person who got
> CoVid before and recovered, is still at risk of another infection. So in
> reality, it's time to put my head between my knees, and hope.
>
> Douglas
>
>
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