[Leica] Whereas I found this article terrifying

[Douglas Barry]

I totally agree, Philippe. The volume of testing is key to understanding 
the variance in the death to case ratio. However, no matter how many 
people are tested, there are still a significant number of people who 
won't bother getting it done for varying reasons - ignorance, 
recklessness, being asymptomatic, etc.

It is down to the vulnerable - old, etc. - to isolate and/or protect 
themselves by assuming any contact with anyone else could be opening a 
conduit to the infection.

Douglas


On 22/03/2020 12:25, Philippe via LUG wrote:
> I have no idea Don.
>
> What I know is that I live near the German border, which is now closed. Maybe social interaction is more limited in Germany? Or the tsunami has simply not reached them, yet. Just guessing.
> The other reasonable explanation might also come from how the statistics are produced. Germany performs more tests than France for instance. The resulting ratio contaminated/dead is subsequently more accurate than here, and also lower. Here, only those already (too?) far in the condition are tested. The toll may consequently look higher in proportion. Just conjectures I said as I don’t know the raw data for Germany.
>
> If you look at Italy and Spain, with a milder climate and a strong habit of « socializing » on the streets, in the resaurants or the cafés, the casualties are more than three times ours at the time I’m writing. Which doesn’t mean anyone is faring better. Time only will tell.
>
> Alsace where I live is dramatically affected after a convention by a congregation of evangelists that spread the disease (also nationwide) a couple of weeks ago. And it was snowball from there.
>
> I live in a tiny (600 inh.) remote village that, in theory, should have been spared, had people been reasonably careful. Yet, we have villagers in hospital right now. And some deaths are reported in the old people’s home located on the outskirts of the village. How did they get it ???
>
> Stay home !
>
> Amities
>
> Philippe
>
>
>
>> Le 22 mars 2020 à 12:54, Don Dory via LUG <lug at leica-users.org> a écrit :
>>
>> More relevant would be comments from our European members as to the very
>> disparate mortality rates of Germany to France(~100 to ~400) Even
>> backtracking for population numbers France has a much higher mortality rate
>> with a similar proficiency in medical capabilities. Both countries should
>> have had similar initial exposure profiles and I assume reasonably similar
>> internal movement/ external tourism but I would like to know more.
>>
>> On Sat, Mar 21, 2020, 11:15 PM Brian Reid <reid at mejac.palo-alto.ca.us>
>> wrote:
>>
>>> https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221.full
>>>
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