[Leica] Nathan's PAD 14/3/2020: ghost town
Douglas Barry
imra at iol.ie
Sun Mar 15 15:51:45 PDT 2020
Thanks for that, Frank, and Brian, I think you're right to escape from
London given the UK govt's approach, and despite the delights of your
grand daughter.
Ireland is closing all its pubs, hotel bars, and shebeens from tonight.
Pretty drastic, as it's Patrick's Day week, but it looks like CoVid-19
is the gift that going to keep on giving. There's a strong rumour that
we're also going to end up by Tuesday evening like Italy and Spain with
the citizenry confined to their houses, police and army out, and
shopping restricted.
I have a bit of stock in which is enough to cover us for a month, but
lockdown will probably go on for much longer. I see the UK under that
master of legerdemain Boris Johnson and his Brexiteers, think there's a
hope that "herd immunity" will spread through their light touch
management of the infection, and that all will be well - bar the fact
that the over 70s will have to spend 14 weeks in self isolation.
Interesting approach, and as the old Chinese curse goes, "May you live
in interesting times..."
Douglas
On 15/03/2020 21:53, Frank Filippone via LUG wrote:
> China is showing a decrease in the daily new sickos. England is still
> expanding. Italy is currently #1 in the world. The Vatican is in
> lockdown. Masses have been cancelled.
> I need not tell anyone that this is going to get worse before it gets
> better, worldwide.
> I saw a US map this morning with the infection numbers. It does not take a
> genius to tell that EACH of the centers of infection are the same as major
> airports.
> The plague traveled slowly, as transportation was at the speed of a walking
> horse, cow or man.
> Replicate infection rates with the speed of airplanes ( give or take, 600
> times faster), and there is no place to hide..... The disease has to burn
> itself out.
> Brian, under your bed is as good as any other place.... but you are going
> to go through the highest likelihood area for catching the disease... an
> airport.
> Carry alcohol wipes, wipe down everything, stay away from EVERYONE, and
> touch nothing.
> Good advice when you get home as well.....
> PS: I was struck to see that ICELAND has 100+ cases of covid19. Iceland is
> a big center for tourists and through flights to Europe.
>
> My son works for Homeland Security. He is going to send me a way to find
> the kinds of products that will effectively kill the virus on contact. I
> will forward the email to the list.
>
>
> Frank Filippone
> BMWRed735i at gmail.com
>
>
> On Sun, Mar 15, 2020 at 9:23 AM Brian Reid <reid at mejac.palo-alto.ca.us>
> wrote:
>
>> On 2020-03-15 8:53 am, Don Dory via LUG wrote:
>>> I would second the suggestion to stay in London. Infection rates
>>> appear to
>>> be low and ...
>> Trust me, the infection rates in London are going to explode in a few
>> days. I know a great deal about combinatorics (a math thing) and enough
>> epidemiology to see that the current mix of policy and people is not
>> going to work, and that by the time they come to their senses about
>> policy it will be too late. It would not surprise me if in a week London
>> is reporting more cases than Wuhan.
>>
>> I have a seat on a flight leaving LHR at 11:35am tomorrow morning, which
>> will get me into the US by Trump's deadline.
>>
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