Archived posting to the Leica Users Group, 2003/06/25
[Author Prev] [Author Next] [Thread Prev] [Thread Next] [Author Index] [Topic Index] [Home] [Search]Does that mean the Fotron will never have a second life? Slobodan Dimitrov Martin Howard wrote: > > Teresa and/or Kim wrote: > > > Oh come on. In the real world using a Leica anything is a joke. > > Not necessarily. Leaving the collector's market aside for a moment > (who buy things, regardless of cost, simply because they exist) Leica's > forte is mechanics and optics. These are two things that hold their > value. Which means that buying a $2,000 lens may seem nuts, but the > fact is that it is (a) likely to be useful 20 years from now, (b) > likely to be sell-able 20 years from now. I bought a 1935 Leica II > camera around 1999 and sold it a few years later (after having used it > quite happily as a daily shooter) without loosing a penny (the > opposite, in fact). If it had broken down, I could have had it fixed, > for less than the combined purchasing price + cost of repair would > bring in a sale, and I would have had a choice of qualified, competing, > independent repair guys to choose from. > > Try doing that with a second-generation digital camera 64 years after > its introduction. > > Even the madder-than-a-hatter Visoflex system, which in the face of > competition at the time was a pretty bizarre move, made some kind of > economic sense, because you can still use or sell the system today. > Sure, it's waaaaay behind SLRs in terms of usefulness, but it has > residual value. The only way I would be able to sell a tricked out IBM > PC (first version) today is as a curiosity item. > > The point is this: A $5,200 digital back for the R8/R9 makes no > economic sense for anyone except the insanely rich, or the insanely > dumb. If you can afford to dump five grand on something simply because > it says "Leica" on the front, great for you. Professionals who need > that kind of digital quality will use an EOS1D (or, more probably, > whatever is going to be available in 16 months time), because there are > going to be alternatives that are cheaper, better quality, or both. > > > Yeah, $5,200 is a lot of money. So were the original digital offerings > > that came out from Canon, Nikon and the other gods of the digital > > world. > > Canon, Nikon, and Kodak could charge what they did for their early > digital offerings because they were FIRST. They were breaking new > ground, they were providing a competitive advantage to professionals > who could afford to shell out $18,000 on a digital body becase (a) > no-one else was offering one at $10,000, and (b) they knew that the > advantages in speed made it competitive against film... even over an 18 > month period. > > Leica has none of that. It is not first. It is unlikely to offer > remarkably better quality than other offerings at the same (or lower) > price, judging by past digital efforts from Leica. And it doubt very > much that it is going to be cheaper than the competitors equivalent > products. > > Which leaves happy amateurs. The number of happy amateurs that are > going to drop $5,200 (using today's exchange rate -- and it's getting > worse) on a graft-on digital back for their R8/R9 can probably be > counted in the hundreds -- if that. > > Why? In five/ten years time, who's going to buy a second hand > Digital-R back? What are you going to do if it needs to be repaired? > How long is it going to work? We all know Leica's track record with > electronics. (Ever considered the similarity between "Leica" and > "Lucas"? Both are five letters long, they share three of those > letters... ;) If you buy a new Digital-R back, you're going to have to > kiss pretty much the whole investment goodbye, because very, very few > people are going to want to buy it off you when the glitz of owning it > has worn off. And in 2006 when the prices have plummeted, are you > going to want to shell out $1,500 -- $2,000 on a two-generations old, > second hand Digital-R back, or use that to buy a "proper" digital SLR > from Canon, Nikon, or Olympus? > > It's a curiosity item. I'd love to see the economic and market plans > for this item. What are they basing the recapturing of R&D costs on? > 200 sales? A trickle-down of technology into hitherto unknown, > cheaper, consumer-grade products? > > What would make sense? A $2,000 -- $3,000 component-based, prosumer > grade, camera body that would take M, R, & Visoflex lenses. Austin is > fond of saying that a digital back for M lenses won't work because of > physical limitations -- and I for one trust his knowledge in this area > enough to believe him. Which leaves R and Visoflex lenses. (Why viso? > Cheapest, most flexible macro system in the world.) With the 14167 > adaptor, you've got Visoflex lenses on an R body. Which leaves R > lenses. > > Component-based? Yeah. This is electronics and software, guys. Make > the imaging chip exchangable. Make the physical unit (the bits you > hold and twiddle) the base, enable the owner to upgrade to the newest, > greatest chip when it comes along (rip out the old module, plug in the > new one) and make the software downloadable/upgradable. THAT makes > economic sense, because you can see an upgrade path, you can protect > your investment, and you know that you will be able to stay with the > technological development withouth having to throw away an entire > system. > > In some sense, it can be argued that that is exactly what Leica is > going. But $5,200?? Come on. Pull the other one too. > > M. > > -- > To unsubscribe, see http://mejac.palo-alto.ca.us/leica-users/unsub.html - -- To unsubscribe, see http://mejac.palo-alto.ca.us/leica-users/unsub.html